A10 record prediction

L

Longtime Spider

New recruit
I apologies if this has already been covered elsewhere, but I wanted to hear everyone’s thoughts on how we’ll perform in conference play. Some of the computer rankings, like Warren Nolan and Massey, are predicting a pretty rough conference record (6 or 7 wins), which honestly surprises me given our current NET ranking of 91. I’m guessing the low predictions are due to our weak out-of-conference schedule.

Personally, I think we’ll finish 10-8 and outperform those predictions. Below is my optimistic game-by-game breakdown, though I do think we’ll drop 3 games we should’ve won. Look forward to hearing other peoples thoughts.

OpponentResult
George WashingtonWin
at FordhamWin
at St. BonaventureLoss
St. Joseph's PAWin
La SalleWin
at St. LouisLoss
Rhode IslandWin
at George WashingtonLoss
at VCULoss
DavidsonWin
at Rhode IslandWin
George MasonWin
VCULoss
at DavidsonWin
St. BonaventureWin
at Loyola-ChicagoWin
DaytonWin
at DuquesneWin
 
Bottom line is thanks to our ridiculously awful schedule, we still have no clue how we will do in the A-10. There is just not enough data so far on how we will do against the top 6 or 7 teams. Are we as good or better than them? Who knows? I hope we are, and as always, I will hope for and want a top 4 seed, but who knows?

A couple seasons ago, when we went 15-3 A-10, I think we all could see we had a pretty good team based on our OOC games. We lost a few we could have won, but losing to Colorado by 5, leading BC by 14, trailing Florida by 7 with 7 minutes left, and beating UNLV by 17 all showed we could be headed for a real good A-10 season. I miss schedules like that. And, that schedule wasn't even that hard and doesn't seem like it should be that hard to duplicate.
 
I guess middle of the road somewhere. St Louis, VCU and GWU. Then I guess Richmond, George Mason and St.Joe. Fordham, Duquesne and Lasalle at the bottom.
 
RichmondNative said:
3-3, 3-3, 3-3 = 9-9 a perfect symmetry year.

Where that puts the Spiders in the standings I would guess is around 5th or 6th.
Click to expand...
man, 9-9 seems aggressive. I haven't seen much to make me think we're that solid. we lost to Charleston Southern, Elon and Furman. we're maybe a top 3rd SoCon / Big South team.

the weak schedule let us play a lot of bodies. it let us work on things. the newcomers could learn the system. it should have built confidence and we should be playing our best ball heading into the A10 schedule. whether it prepared us for the A10 or not, we'd find out.

but we don't seem any better today than when we started almost 2 months ago. outside of the Belmont game, there's not one game that we can look at to make us feel we're ready to play A10 level ball.

GW lost to Delaware, so who knows. Fordham should be a win so it's possible we start 2-0. I want to say 8-10 but that feels overly optimistic. I'll go 7-11. and if we're 7-11 and we graduate 5 seniors, we can expect the same kind of ooc schedule next year.
 
sman said:
man, 9-9 seems aggressive. I haven't seen much to make me think we're that solid. we lost to Charleston Southern, Elon and Furman. we're maybe a top 3rd SoCon / Big South team.

but we don't seem any better today than when we started almost 2 months ago. outside of the Belmont game, there's not one game that we can look at to make us feel we're ready to play A10 level ball.
Click to expand...
I understand your feeling, but I have watched a decent amount of the other A10 teams play and the sad truth is that the A10 is not that far away from the competition level of the true “mid-major” conferences. It used to be that the A10 was very close to the P5, but those days are far in the rear view now. The A10 has been “in the middle” for the last few years, but I think with the transfer portal and NIL it is now trending down to simply being a true mid-major conference. The A10 is a two bid league.

The Spiders will be able to win more simply because the majority of the conference is at the same level.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top