A10 record prediction

L

Longtime Spider

New recruit
I apologies if this has already been covered elsewhere, but I wanted to hear everyone’s thoughts on how we’ll perform in conference play. Some of the computer rankings, like Warren Nolan and Massey, are predicting a pretty rough conference record (6 or 7 wins), which honestly surprises me given our current NET ranking of 91. I’m guessing the low predictions are due to our weak out-of-conference schedule.

Personally, I think we’ll finish 10-8 and outperform those predictions. Below is my optimistic game-by-game breakdown, though I do think we’ll drop 3 games we should’ve won. Look forward to hearing other peoples thoughts.

OpponentResult
George WashingtonWin
at FordhamWin
at St. BonaventureLoss
St. Joseph's PAWin
La SalleWin
at St. LouisLoss
Rhode IslandWin
at George WashingtonLoss
at VCULoss
DavidsonWin
at Rhode IslandWin
George MasonWin
VCULoss
at DavidsonWin
St. BonaventureWin
at Loyola-ChicagoWin
DaytonWin
at DuquesneWin
 
Bottom line is thanks to our ridiculously awful schedule, we still have no clue how we will do in the A-10. There is just not enough data so far on how we will do against the top 6 or 7 teams. Are we as good or better than them? Who knows? I hope we are, and as always, I will hope for and want a top 4 seed, but who knows?

A couple seasons ago, when we went 15-3 A-10, I think we all could see we had a pretty good team based on our OOC games. We lost a few we could have won, but losing to Colorado by 5, leading BC by 14, trailing Florida by 7 with 7 minutes left, and beating UNLV by 17 all showed we could be headed for a real good A-10 season. I miss schedules like that. And, that schedule wasn't even that hard and doesn't seem like it should be that hard to duplicate.
 
I guess middle of the road somewhere. St Louis, VCU and GWU. Then I guess Richmond, George Mason and St.Joe. Fordham, Duquesne and Lasalle at the bottom.
 
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