2025–26 opponent tracking

imagine having a school that cares about the success of its team.

at this point, I'm basically over all the coaching malpractice and all the other stuff because it's the literal definition of insanity watching it all over and over, and I'm beginning to hate the school for its incompetence and indifference.
 
La Salle beats Fordham to climb into a tie with the Spiders, though we obviously hold the H2H tiebreaker over the Explorers.

Bona pushed GW to OT, but fell short or else they too would have been tied with us.
 
That's a wrap on today's games.

Gardner-Webb hits a pair of foul shots with 14 seconds and then gets a steal with one second left to win the rubber match over USC Upstate for their second D-I win of the season and advances in the Big South tournament. Imagine being the only D-I team to lose to Gardner-Webb the whole season, and it happened twice.

ODU's season is done at 12–21 and 7–11 in the Sun Belt after falling to Georgia Southern in the second round of their tournament, but JMU advances after beating Louisiana.

3/4

Non-conference (1–1)
- Gardner-Webb 65. USC Upstate 64 (Big South 1st Round)
- Georgia Southern 88, ODU 84 (Sun Belt 2nd Round)

A-10
- La Salle 87, Fordham 84
- GW 91, Bona 82 (OT)
- Rhody 64, Duquesne 52
- St. Joe's 70, Davidson 67
- SLU 79, Loyola 65

Bonus exhibition opponent (1–0)
- JMU 87, Louisiana 72 (Sun Belt 2nd Round)
 
JMU's season likely comes to an end in the third round of the Sun Belt tournament, finishing at 18–15 and 9–9. And Southern Illinois gets upset by Drake in the first round of the MVC tournament, although with a NET of 115 coming into the game they might be a candidate for a lower-level postseason tourney. And ECU gets spanked by Tulsa in their penultimate regular-season game.

3/5

Non-conference (0–2)
- Tulsa 93, ECU 66
- Drake 67, Southern Illinois 63 (MVC 1st Round)

Bonus exhibition opponent (0–1)
- Southern Miss 86, JMU 80 (Sun Belt 3rd Round)
 
MrTbone said:
I was shocked to see our NET is 150.
Click to expand...
does seem odd considering SJU is 125 and they're 12-5 in conference.
guess we've sucessfully gamed the NET calc with our brilliant OOC scheduling.

I still think RPI does a better job of ranking teams.
we're 205 there, which feels about right.
 
Last edited:
sman said:
does seem odd considering SJU is 125 and they're 12-5 in conference.
guess we've sucessfully gamed the NIL calc with our brilliant OOC scheduling.

I still think RPI does a better job of ranking teams.
we're 205 there, which feels about right.
Click to expand...
Calling 2011,

And I still think a shortcut for NET is over or underperforming vs the spread.
I think that is where we have been closer to average…
 
MrTbone said:
I was shocked to see our NET is 150.
Click to expand...
This is in line with essentially all predictive computer rankings. Our A10 record is what would be expected from the 150th best team in the country. The A10 this year actually doesn’t have a lot of truly bad teams outside of Loyola Chicago. The conference is the toughest it has been top to bottom in over a decade, even though we don’t have that many NCAA tournament quality teams. We also had one of the hardest conference schedules of the A10 due to the way home and away broke down.

I think we are 11th in the standings and 10th in NET in the A10
 
Last edited:
Urmite said:
Calling 2011,

And I still think a shortcut for NET is over or underperforming vs the spread.
I think that is where we have been closer to average…
Click to expand...
Truly your NET doesn’t matter for getting into the tournament. Only the NET of your opponents matter (adjusted for where the game was played). They look at resume, and use the NET of your opponents to determine how good your resume is.

So gaming the NET really only helps your opponents.

The NCAA uses WAB (wins above bubble team) to compare resumes. We are 198th in that, our resume is bad. That is probably more aligned with what you are feeling Urmite. https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/basketball-men/d1/wab-ranking

That is capturing something different than what NET captures, resume (how the team has performed in the past) vs. how likely is the team to win in a future game. Us having a good NET helps our opponents WAB, but doesn't help ours. The commitee depends very heavily on this WAB metric and not on a team's NET.
 
Last edited:
fan2011 said:
Truly your NET doesn’t matter for getting into the tournament. Only the NET of your opponents matter (adjusted for where the game was played). They look at resume, and use the NET of your opponents to determine how good your resume is.

So gaming the NET really only helps your opponents.

The NCAA uses WAB (wins above bubble team) to compare resumes. We are 198th in that, our resume is bad. That is probably more aligned with what you are feeling Urmite. https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/basketball-men/d1/wab-ranking

That is capturing something different than what NET captures, resume (how the team has performed in the past) vs. how likely is the team to win in a future game. Us having a good NET helps our opponents WAB, but doesn't help ours. The commitee depends very heavily on this WAB metric and not on a team's NET.
Click to expand...
Not sure of my accuracy but I see
Fordham 193 WAB
Bonnie’s 189
LaSalle 273
Loyola 317

UR 199
Duquesne 145
 
Belmont just lost to 9th seed Drake in their first game of the MVC tourney. 26-6 and and 54 in the NET, but don't think they're getting an at large.
 
7-seed Charleston Southern was up by seven on 2-seed Winthrop with 45 seconds to go and somehow lost as Winthrop went on a 12–0 run in the final 28 seconds. Wilson had a key steal to aid the comeback.
 
SFspidur said:
7-seed Charleston Southern was up by seven on 2-seed Winthrop with 45 seconds to go and somehow lost as Winthrop went on a 12–0 run in the final 28 seconds. Wilson had a key steal to aid the comeback.
Click to expand...
In 20 minutes, 1 steal, 2 FTs, no FGs, and 2 blocks !?!
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top